“My opinion is it’s a bridge too far to go to fully autonomous vehicles.”–Elon Musk, 2013
“We’ll have a fleet of robo taxis by the end of next year.”–(paraphrased), Elon Musk, this week
Ah, you have to love Elon Musk. Or maybe not. If he were a politician, the election opponents would be all over him for flip-flopping. Ok, so we’ll allow him to change his mind in light of further technological developments. The problem is, some pretty big names in field of autonomous vehicles don’t agree with him. And as for his track record on Tesla promises…well, you know the drill.
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Autonomous Vehicles–Barely two weeks after Ford CEO Jim Hackett admitted that “the industry overestimated the arrival of autonomous vehicles,” Elon Musk shot back with a much rosier, prediction. He’s forecasting that Tesla will roll out a fleet of self-driving taxis by the end of next year, even as many other automotive executives are suggesting that 10 years is a far more realistic timeframe than one year.
–Tesla posted this video of an autonomous road trip (below)
Hyperloop/Boring Company–On another Elon Musk front, his The Boring Company made a major step towards a formal government approval of its first subterranean hyperloop transport system. It filed a 505-page environmental assessment study on the impact of its proposed NY-Philly-Baltimore-DC underground transit loop. Musk says an initial 16 tunnels for the route between Baltimore and D.C. could be completed in 15-23 months. Judging by the number of state, local and federal agencies that have to sign off on the proposal, it’s likely to take a lot longer than that to get the needed approvals.
CRISPR/gene editing–One of the inventors of the gene editing process, CRISPR, has a strong message for us. Jennifer Doudna says we’ll be eating CRISPR-edited foods within 5 years.
–On the other hand, Nature News reports that working with CRISPR-edited lab animals is proving to be a challenge. Key among those challenges is keeping them alive.
Space–China continues to ramp up its space efforts. They plan to launch an asteroid-comet mission in 2022. On a more disturbing front, they are apparently using U.S. satellite technology to ramp up their global surveillance efforts.
Gig economy–According to this opinion piece in OneZero, the gig economy may be broadening the rich/poor gap.
Surveillance/Existential Risk.–Techno-philospher Nick Bostrom may be best known as a dyed-in-the wool transhumanist, and the man who first proffered the suggestion that all of us may living in an simulation. Now–going one step farther than Stephen Hawking’s suggestion that we might need a global government to keep tabs on the existential risks of technology–Bostrom has suggested that global surveillance of every single human might be the only thing that can save us.
Seeking Delphi™ podcast/coming attractions: John C. Havens on IEEE’s new volume, Ethically Alligned Design, laying out their proposed framework for the safe and beneficial development of A.I. and other automated systems.