“The moon is a friend for the lonesome to talk to.”–Carl Sandburg
I don’t know about the moon, but when it comes to Mars, it does not appear that NASA will be doing much more than saying hello in the foreseeable future. It seems there’s this little problem of money. On the other hand, it’s full speed ahead to the lunar surface for at least one private enterprise.
Space Exploration and Technology–NASA has finally admitted what experts have been saying for some time. It does not have enough money to land astronauts on Mars. They could get astronauts there and orbit, but not land. So I suppose they could say hello.
—Moon Express is full speed ahead on its own ambitious space project. They recently announced plans to launch a series of robotic lunar mining missions, the third of which will bring back samples from the surface in 2020. The company is racing four other enterprises as finalists for the Lunar X Prize of $20 milllion, which will be awarded to the first private venture to land a rover on the moon and send back high definition pictures.
eCommerce/Retailing– According to retail guru Brittain Ladd, Amazon could become the largest U.S. grocery retailer by 2030, if their proposed takeover of Whole Foods goes through. Ladd predicts Amazon will pass U. S. #2 retailer Kroger by 2025 and take over the top spot from Walmart sometime between 2027 and 2030.
Electric Cars–The greatest roadblock to massive roll out of electric cars may not be infrastructure, but batteries. Volkswagon, says that as many as 40 new giga-factories may be needed to meet global demand by 2025.
Transhumanism/Brain interface–DARPA has awarded a contract to six organizations, to be led by the University of California, Berkeley, to develop implantable interfaces that could transmit images and sound directly into the brain. The aim is to compensate for natural visual or hearing loss. (Reference back: in Seeking Delphi™ podcast #10, on the future of cinema and digital entertainment, film maker Steven Katz discussed this possibility.)
CRISPR/genetic editing–A team of researchers from Harvard and MIT are casting doubt on an earlier study that found that CRISPR/Cas9 gene edits could introduce unexpected mutations. The original study was done by Columbia University. It should be noted, however, that the Broad Institute, a joint venture of Harvard and MIT, is in a pitched patent battle with the University of California, Berkeley, for rights to various uses of the technology. CRISPR gene editing has the potential to change the face of human health, and perhaps even enter the domain of trans-humanism. See video embedded below.
Robotics/Artificial Intelligence–It seems that a security robot has committed suicide in Washington, DC. After sounding a security all-clear, it threw itself into a pool.
Coming Attractions: I’ll be attending the annual meeting of the Association of Professional Futurists July 27-29 in Seattle. More to come on that.
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Um, OK. I’m guilty as charged, too, Brad Feld. In the 1960’s mixed marriages caused controversy. In the 2010’s it’s mixed technology. But make no mistake about it, whatever you use, the cloud is about to get a lot bigger–and higher. With the SpaceX announcement of its initiative to launch thousands of internet beaming micro satellites beginning in 2019, those unread emails are literally going to be orbiting the earth. That’s just the beginning, in The Future This Week.
In episode #11, futurist Ian Pearson spoke to his assertion that artificial intelligence will create jobs. One of the main reasons for this, he believes, will be the need to provide an emotional human interface between A.I. and its intended beneficiaries, be they patients, consumers, or business clients. But the field of affective computing is rapidly developing artificial intelligence that can read and respond to human emotion. They are systems with emotional intelligence. In episode #12, I talk with author Richard Yonck. His new book, Heart of the Machine, provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of development in emotional A.I., while providing cogent scenarios projecting where it might lead us in the future.
One of the hottest topics in foresight today is artificial intelligence. And while many of the most visible forward thinkers have been stressing over potential existential threats to all of humanity, there is a more mundane threat to all of us. That would be our world of work. As automation on the assembly line replaces more and more unskilled labor jobs, there lies the looming threat of artificial intelligence taking on skilled, professional jobs. Will A.I. kill your job? Create you a new one? Both? Neither? While the media is full of pessimism on this account, at least one prominent futurist is cautiously optimistic. Author, speaker and blogger Ian Pearson, of Futurizon thinks that, at least in the short term, A.I. will create more jobs than it kills. I talk to him about these views, as well as the longer range existential effects of A.I., in this week’s Seeking Delphi Podcast.
